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Why Does a 87% Win-Rate Team Still Lose? The Data Behind Arsenal’s £52M Move for Martin Ødegaard

Why Does a 87% Win-Rate Team Still Lose? The Data Behind Arsenal’s £52M Move for Martin Ødegaard

As a data scientist who built predictive models for NBA and Premier League teams, I’ve seen this before: high win rates don’t guarantee success. Arsenal’s £52M signing of Martin Ødegaard isn’t about talent—it’s about systemic gaps in positional analysis. This move reveals how clubs misread spatial efficiency, overvaluing right-wingers while ignoring midfield structure. Let me show you what the numbers truly say.
Football Hub
football analytics
arsenal fc
•1 month ago
Who’s the most heartbreaking near-miss in Champions League history: Atlético or Arsenal?

Who’s the most heartbreaking near-miss in Champions League history: Atlético or Arsenal?

As a data-driven analyst raised in Croydon, I’ve spent years modeling UEFA success probabilities—not just outcomes. Between Atlético’s three final losses and Arsenal’s near-miss in 2006, it’s not about trophies, but about the quiet erosion of potential. Their stats tell a deeper story: consistency under pressure, not glory. This isn’t a tale of failure—it’s a Bayesian tragedy.
Football Hub
champions league
atletico madrid
•1 month ago
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