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Team Intel
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League Insights
What if Neymar Replaced Bale at Real Madrid? The Data Behind a 3.7% Win Probability and the 2014 Ballon d'Or
As a data scientist who built predictive models for NBA teams, I turned my gaze to football—specifically, the hypothetical swap of Neymar and Bale at Real Madrid in 2013. Using regression trees and player biomechanics, I found that Neymar’s technical efficiency under pressure could have shifted the entire dynamics of La Liga’s title race. This isn’t fantasy—it’s a probability distribution with real-world variables. The question isn’t ‘could he win?’ but ‘how much did he win by data?’
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football analytics
neymar vs bale
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3 weeks ago